SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Colo-Colo | Draw | River Plate |
36.54% ( -0.39) | 27.25% ( 0.13) | 36.21% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 50.11% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.62% ( -0.53) | 55.38% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.42% ( -0.43) | 76.58% ( 0.44) |
| Colo-Colo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.89% ( -0.49) | 29.11% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% ( -0.61) | 65.03% ( 0.61) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( -0.1) | 29.31% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.72% ( -0.12) | 65.28% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Colo-Colo | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.54% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.2% |
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