Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 62.99%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Nice had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Nice win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
-0.26) 
0.1) 
