Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 12.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.8%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.07) 
