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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 7, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal
SL

Portimonense
2 - 3
Sporting Lisbon

Carlinhos (25'), Junior (30')
Moufi (38'), Da Costa (64')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Tabata (12'), Sarabia (71', 76')
Esgaio (67'), Coates (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Portimonense
Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 0-3 Sporting Lisbon

Looking at past results between the sides, Sporting Lisbon head into the weekend as firm favourites to come away with all three points. Portimonense are winless in each of their last eight games against the visitors and we predict this trend will continue with Amorim's side claiming all three points once again.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw has a probability of 21.2% and a win for Portimonense has a probability of 16.72%.

The most likely scoreline is Portimonense 0-1 Sporting Lisbon with a probability of 11.09% and the second most likely scoreline is Portimonense 0-2 Sporting Lisbon with a probability of 10.9%.

Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 16.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-0 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawSporting Lisbon
16.72%21.23%62.04%
Both teams to score 51.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81%45.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47%67.53%
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.7%40.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.07%76.92%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99%14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.46%41.53%
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 16.72%
    Sporting Lisbon 62.03%
    Draw 21.23%
PortimonenseDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.13%
2-1 @ 4.58%
2-0 @ 2.33%
3-1 @ 1.39%
3-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 16.72%
1-1 @ 10.08%
0-0 @ 5.64%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.23%
0-1 @ 11.09%
0-2 @ 10.9%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-3 @ 7.15%
1-3 @ 6.49%
0-4 @ 3.51%
1-4 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.95%
2-4 @ 1.45%
0-5 @ 1.38%
1-5 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 62.03%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Portimonense
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Moreirense
Saturday, April 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 7-0 Portimonense
Saturday, April 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, April 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Belenenses 2-0 Portimonense
Saturday, April 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Braga
Sunday, March 20 at 8pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 4-1 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Monday, April 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, April 21 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 0-2 Benfica
Sunday, April 17 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Tondela 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, April 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Sunday, April 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


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