Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Ajax |
49.4% ( -0.04) | 22.63% ( 0.16) | 27.97% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 62.54% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.2% ( -0.87) | 37.8% ( 0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.95% ( -0.94) | 60.05% ( 0.94) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.4% ( -0.33) | 15.6% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.42% ( -0.62) | 44.58% ( 0.62) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.1% ( -0.53) | 25.9% ( 0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.12% ( -0.71) | 60.88% ( 0.72) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.4% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.63% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.97% |
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