Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Vicenza had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Vicenza win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.