Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vicenza win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 33.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vicenza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
