SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Cosenza Calcio | 38 | -23 | 35 |
| 17 | Vicenza | 38 | -21 | 34 |
| 18 | Alessandria | 38 | -22 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Lecce | 38 | 28 | 71 |
| 2 | Cremonese | 38 | 18 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 38 | 22 | 67 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Vicenza win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vicenza | Draw | Lecce |
| 24.61% | 24.75% | 50.63% |
| Both teams to score 52.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% | 50.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.01% | 71.99% |
| Vicenza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.07% | 34.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.33% | 71.67% |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% | 19.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.2% | 51.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vicenza | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 7.26% 2-1 @ 6.19% 2-0 @ 3.82% 3-1 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.76% 3-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.08% Total : 24.61% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 11.19% 1-2 @ 9.55% 0-2 @ 9.07% 1-3 @ 5.16% 0-3 @ 4.91% 2-3 @ 2.71% 1-4 @ 2.09% 0-4 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.86% Total : 50.63% |
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