Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 50.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 24.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Vicenza win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
