Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Everton.

Result
Everton	Draw	Brentford
43.95% ( 0.09)	25.23% ( 0.01)	30.81% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 55.32% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.89% (

-0.1)

48.11% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.72% (

-0.09)

70.27% (

0.09)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.13% (

-0)

21.87% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.88% (

-0)

55.12% (

0.01)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.81% (

-0.11)

29.19% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.87% (

-0.14)

65.13% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Everton 43.95%

Brentford 30.81%

Draw 25.23%

Everton	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.95%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.81%