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Premier League | Gameweek 34
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
BL

Luton
1 - 5
Brentford

Berry (90+2')
Doughty (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wissa (24', 45+1'), Pinnock (62'), Lewis-Potter (64'), Schade (86')
Pinnock (38'), Damsgaard (48')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 5-1 Luton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawBrentford
38.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.7% (0.0019999999999989 0) 37.41% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.6% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.6% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)39.4% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.26% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)61.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.48% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)20.52% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.98% (-0.012 -0.01)53.02% (0.012 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.24% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.86%54.14%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 38.89%
    Brentford 37.41%
    Draw 23.7%
Luton TownDrawBrentford
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.47%
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.37%
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 6.56%
0-0 @ 4.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 5.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.28%
2-3 @ 3.39%
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 37.41%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man City 5-1 Luton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Bournemouth
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Luton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Luton
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 4-3 Luton
Wednesday, March 13 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-3 Brentford
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-0 Brighton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Man Utd
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in Premier League


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