SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 78.64%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Abha had a probability of 7.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Abha |
78.64% ( -0.21) | 13.81% ( 0.13) | 7.55% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.97% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.04% ( -0.34) | 34.96% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.06% ( -0.38) | 56.94% ( 0.37) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.9% ( -0.12) | 7.1% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.12% ( -0.31) | 25.88% ( 0.3) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.57% ( -0.04) | 49.43% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.74% ( -0.03) | 84.26% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Abha |
| 2-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 78.63% | 1-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 13.81% | 0-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.77% Total : 7.55% |
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