SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Ahli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Shabab | Draw | Al-Ahli |
31.68% ( -0.58) | 23.25% ( 0.44) | 45.06% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 62.7% ( -1.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.37% ( -2.41) | 38.62% ( 2.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.07% ( -2.6) | 60.93% ( 2.59) |
| Al Shabab Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% ( -1.5) | 23.97% ( 1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.79% ( -2.19) | 58.21% ( 2.19) |
| Al-Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.47% ( -0.9) | 17.53% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.95% ( -1.58) | 48.05% ( 1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Shabab | Draw | Al-Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6% ( 0.42)2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.68% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.46)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.25% | 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.61)0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 3.97% Total : 45.06% |
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