SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crawley Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
29.65% ( -0.02) | 23.74% ( 0.01) | 46.6% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.77% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.02% ( -0.05) | 41.98% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.61% ( -0.06) | 64.38% ( 0.05) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( -0.04) | 26.89% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% ( -0.05) | 62.21% ( 0.05) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.76% ( -0.02) | 18.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.73% ( -0.03) | 49.26% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.23% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.65% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 46.6% |
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