SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Aldershot Town |
48.45% ( -0.27) | 23.09% ( 0.01) | 28.46% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 61.25% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.33% ( 0.12) | 39.67% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.98% ( 0.12) | 62.02% ( -0.12) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.36% ( -0.06) | 16.63% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.53% ( -0.1) | 46.47% ( 0.1) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% ( 0.24) | 26.52% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( 0.31) | 61.72% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.4% Total : 48.45% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.89% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.46% |
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