Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 92.77%. A draw had a probability of 5% and a win for East Grinstead Town had a probability of 2.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-4 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.91%) and 0-5 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.08%), while for a East Grinstead Town win it was 2-1 (0.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
-0.16) 
0.39) 
