SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 23.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Atalanta BC |
53.54% ( -0.2) | 23.21% ( -0) | 23.25% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 55.63% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.24% ( 0.24) | 44.76% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.88% ( 0.23) | 67.12% ( -0.22) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.33% ( 0.01) | 16.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.47% ( 0.02) | 46.54% ( -0.02) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% ( 0.31) | 33.25% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.14% ( 0.35) | 69.86% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.21% | 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 23.25% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
