Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.