SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Barry Town United |
44.24% ( -0.59) | 24.98% ( 0.09) | 30.78% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 56.17% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53% ( -0.17) | 47% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.75% ( -0.16) | 69.25% ( 0.16) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.73% ( -0.34) | 21.28% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.8% ( -0.53) | 54.2% ( 0.52) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.35% ( 0.25) | 28.65% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.54% ( 0.31) | 64.47% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Barry Town United |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.24% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.78% |
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