Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colwyn Bay would win this match.