SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
50.68% ( 0.02) | 24.63% ( -0.01) | 24.68% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.66% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.54% ( 0.01) | 49.45% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% ( 0.01) | 71.49% ( -0.01) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( 0.01) | 19.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.59% ( 0.02) | 51.4% ( -0.02) |
| Aberystwyth Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.43% ( -0.01) | 34.56% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.72% ( -0.01) | 71.28% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Aberystwyth Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0)2-0 @ 9% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.9% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0)4-0 @ 2% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 50.68% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 24.68% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
