SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 52.41%. A win for Colwyn Bay had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Colwyn Bay win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
52.41% ( 0.02) | 22.24% ( 0) | 25.35% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.45% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.83% ( -0.02) | 38.16% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.56% ( -0.03) | 60.43% ( 0.02) |
| Barry Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.29% ( -0) | 14.7% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.11% ( -0.01) | 42.89% ( 0) |
| Colwyn Bay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% ( -0.03) | 27.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.41% ( -0.03) | 63.58% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barry Town United | Draw | Colwyn Bay |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.15% 3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.95% 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 4.18% Total : 52.41% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.23% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 25.35% |
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