Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Betis | Draw | Al Ittihad |
52.2% ( -0.13) | 23.05% ( -0.05) | 24.75% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 57.9% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.45% ( 0.38) | 42.55% ( -0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.04% ( 0.38) | 64.95% ( -0.39) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.65% ( 0.09) | 16.34% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.05% ( 0.17) | 45.94% ( -0.17) |
Al Ittihad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.22% ( 0.35) | 30.78% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.95% ( 0.41) | 67.05% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Real Betis | Draw | Al Ittihad |
2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.2% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 24.75% |
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