Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 32
May 16, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
We said: Al Khaleej 1-1 Al Ittihad
While Al Ittihad enter this match with an excellent record against this opponent, they are missing a host of their starters and seem to have thrown in the towel for the season. Al Khaleej need a single point to secure their top-flight status and could not have chosen a better time to face Nadi Al-Sha'ab. We feel the hosts will take at least a point from this contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 61.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 0-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 2-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result |
| Al Khaleej | Draw | Al Ittihad |
17.84% ( 0.1) | 20.34% ( 0.04) | 61.82% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 56.73% ( 0.05) |
| 60.8% ( -0.03) | 39.19% ( 0.03) |
| 38.47% ( -0.03) | 61.52% ( 0.03) |
| 64.6% ( 0.09) | 35.39% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.84% ( 0.09) | 72.15% ( -0.09) |
| 87.8% ( -0.05) | 12.19% ( 0.05) |
