SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 15.13%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 0-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for an Abha win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Abha | Draw | Al Ittihad |
15.13% ( -0.17) | 18.06% ( -0.2) | 66.82% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.54% ( 0.62) | 33.46% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.75% ( 0.71) | 55.25% ( -0.7) |
| Abha Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.98% ( 0.19) | 35.02% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.24% ( 0.2) | 71.76% ( -0.2) |
| Al Ittihad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.72% ( 0.25) | 9.28% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.66% ( 0.6) | 31.34% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Abha | Draw | Al Ittihad |
| 2-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 15.13% | 1-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 18.06% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.09)0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 7.64% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 4.54% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 4.33% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 2.16% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 2.06% ( 0.05)2-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.76% Total : 66.82% |
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