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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 30
May 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Abha
3 - 1
Al Ittihad

Krychowiak (56' pen.), Al-Ali (69'), Noguera (73')
Jaber (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jota (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Okhdood 4-0 Abha
Saturday, April 27 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 1-3 Al Shabab
Friday, April 26 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Abha 1-2 Al Ittihad

Desperate Abha at home is a tricky test for Al Ittihad despite the visitors' historical dominance. However, the hosts have struggled for goals in recent matches and look like a side lacking inspiration. Despite all this, we expect a close fight, but a narrow victory for Al Ittihad is the likely result here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 0-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for an Abha win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
AbhaDrawAl Ittihad
15.13% (-0.168 -0.17) 18.06% (-0.195 -0.2) 66.82% (0.363 0.36)
Both teams to score 58.95% (0.337 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.54% (0.62 0.62)33.46% (-0.62 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.75% (0.70500000000001 0.71)55.25% (-0.705 -0.7)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98% (0.191 0.19)35.02% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24% (0.203 0.2)71.76% (-0.203 -0.2)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.72% (0.252 0.25)9.28% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.66% (0.59700000000001 0.6)31.34% (-0.597 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Abha 15.13%
    Al Ittihad 66.82%
    Draw 18.06%
AbhaDrawAl Ittihad
2-1 @ 4.25% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-0 @ 3.41% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-0 @ 1.79% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 15.13%
1-1 @ 8.11% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.25% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.06%
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.18% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-3 @ 7.64% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 7.28% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.54% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
0-4 @ 4.33% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 4.01% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-4 @ 2.38% (0.056 0.06)
1-5 @ 2.16% (0.063 0.06)
0-5 @ 2.06% (0.05 0.05)
2-5 @ 1.13% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 66.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Al Okhdood 4-0 Abha
Saturday, April 27 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Shabab 5-0 Abha
Thursday, April 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Abha 2-1 Al Fateh
Sunday, April 7 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Abha 0-8 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Riyadh 1-1 Abha
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Abha 1-0 Al Wahda
Thursday, March 14 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 1-3 Al Shabab
Friday, April 26 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Hazem 2-3 Al Ittihad
Saturday, April 20 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 0-0 Al-Taawoun
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-0 Al Ittihad
Monday, April 1 at 8pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 3-1 Al Fayha
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Fateh 2-4 Al Ittihad
Saturday, March 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League


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