Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
0.32) 
-0.48) 
