Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.05) 
