Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for CF Os Belenenses had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 0-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a CF Os Belenenses win it was 2-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
-1.7) 
2.94) 
