Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cordoba win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cordoba win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
-0.07) 
0.03) 
