Rayo's recent record against Barcelona is very impressive, and it would not be a surprise to see them claim another positive result this weekend. Rayo should have enough to stay in the division regardless of their final two results, though, and we are expecting Barcelona to navigate their way to all three points on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
-3.35) 
1.36) 
