Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.11) 
