Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%).
0.11) 
-0.14) 
