Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 36.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
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