SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 56.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
56.77% ( -0.04) | 23.54% ( 0.01) | 19.68% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.54% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.63% ( 0.01) | 50.37% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.69% ( 0.01) | 72.31% ( -0.01) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.46% ( -0.01) | 17.54% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.93% ( -0.02) | 48.07% ( 0.02) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.08% ( 0.04) | 39.92% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.42% ( 0.04) | 76.57% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 56.76% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.54% | 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.31% Total : 19.68% |
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