Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 56.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
