SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for SC Verl had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.05%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest SC Verl win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | SC Verl |
51.38% ( 0.19) | 21.92% ( 0) | 26.69% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 63.98% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.57% ( -0.2) | 35.43% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.53% ( -0.22) | 57.47% ( 0.21) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.92% ( -0.01) | 14.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.32% ( -0.02) | 41.68% ( 0.01) |
| SC Verl Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( -0.24) | 25.54% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.6% ( -0.33) | 60.39% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | SC Verl |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.68% Total : 51.38% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 26.69% |
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