Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.24%) and 2-0 (5.37%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
-0) 
0) 
