SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 72.94%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 11.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
72.94% ( 0.01) | 15.26% ( -0) | 11.8% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 60.2% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.43% ( -0) | 27.57% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.79% ( -0.01) | 48.21% ( 0.01) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.45% ( 0) | 6.56% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.58% ( 0) | 24.42% ( 0) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.42% ( -0.02) | 35.58% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.65% ( -0.01) | 72.35% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
| 2-1 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0)3-1 @ 8.13% 3-0 @ 7.87% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.54% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.2% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.02% 5-0 @ 2.92% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.86% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.56% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.37% 6-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.85% Total : 72.94% | 1-1 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.33% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 15.26% | 1-2 @ 3.39% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 11.8% |
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