Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 72.94%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 11.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
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