SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 53.89%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7%) and 1-0 (6.78%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | De Graafschap |
53.89% ( 0.41) | 21.22% ( -0.03) | 24.89% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 64.7% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.31% ( -0.27) | 33.69% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.49% ( -0.31) | 55.51% ( 0.3) |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.3% ( 0.03) | 12.7% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.09% ( 0.06) | 38.91% ( -0.07) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( -0.42) | 25.88% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.13% ( -0.57) | 60.86% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 53.89% | 1-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.22% | 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.89% |
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