Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
De Graafschap	Draw	ADO Den Haag
47.92%	22.76%	29.32%

Both teams to score 63.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.5%

37.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.28%

59.72%

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.99%

16.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.65%

45.34%

ADO Den Haag Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.14%

24.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.54%

59.46%

Score Analysis

De Graafschap 47.92%

ADO Den Haag 29.33%

Draw 22.75%

De Graafschap	Draw	ADO Den Haag
2-1 @ 9.3% 1-0 @ 7.29% 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 5.68% 3-0 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 3.95% 4-1 @ 2.6% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.72% Total : 47.92%	1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 6.47% 0-0 @ 3.98% 3-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.75%	1-2 @ 7.06% 0-1 @ 5.54% 0-2 @ 3.86% 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.14% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.33%