Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
