Considering how much is on the line for Crawley this weekend it is hard to imagine them slipping up and dropping any points here, which is why they should get the win.
However, the recent form of both teams will certainly make this a trickier game than the hosts would like.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
0.07) 
-0) 
