Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
