SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Castellon had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.52%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Castellon win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Wakrah would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Castellon | Draw | Al Wakrah |
36.82% ( -0.02) | 24.23% ( 0) | 38.95% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.56% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.97% ( -0.02) | 42.03% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.57% ( -0.02) | 64.43% ( 0.02) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% ( -0.02) | 22.71% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.62% ( -0.02) | 56.38% ( 0.02) |
| Al Wakrah Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( -0) | 21.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.24% ( -0) | 54.75% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Castellon | Draw | Al Wakrah |
| 2-1 @ 8.26% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.82% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.76% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.59% Total : 38.95% |
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