Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
