Real Sociedad need the points more than Barcelona, with the Basque outfit bidding to cement a Europa League spot, but the hosts will be determined to bounce back from their loss at Girona, and we are predicting a narrow home success on Monday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
0.61) 
-0.24) 
