Gamba Osaka will be full of confidence after winning their last four matches, but we think they will have to settle for a share of the spoils when they face a Vissel Kobe side that has lost just one of their nine away league games this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
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