Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (11.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.05) 
