Espanyol are such a difficult side to beat, and we are not expecting the Catalan team to lose this contest. Real Oviedo deserve huge respect for their display in the semi-finals, though, and we believe that a tight first leg will end with the spoils being shared.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.
