Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Loughgall win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Loughgall win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.12%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Loughgall would win this match.
Result | ||
Loughgall | Draw | Glenavon |
43.57% ( 0.01) | 22.54% ( -0) | 33.89% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 66.35% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.76% ( 0) | 34.23% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.87% ( 0) | 56.13% ( -0) |
Loughgall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.63% ( 0) | 16.37% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54% ( 0.01) | 45.99% ( -0.01) |
Glenavon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.33% ( -0) | 20.66% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.75% ( -0) | 53.24% |
Score Analysis |
Loughgall | Draw | Glenavon |
2-1 @ 8.73% 1-0 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.65% Total : 43.57% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.89% 0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.91% Total : 33.89% |
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