SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Loughgall |
43.85% ( 0.08) | 24.25% ( 0.01) | 31.89% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.19% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.72% ( -0.09) | 43.28% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.32% ( -0.09) | 65.68% ( 0.09) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.09% ( 0) | 19.9% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.96% ( -0) | 52.03% ( 0.01) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( -0.09) | 26.1% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.84% ( -0.13) | 61.16% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Loughgall |
| 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 43.85% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.25% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.89% |
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