Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
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