SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Aveley |
34.85% ( 0.01) | 25.39% ( -0) | 39.76% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.36% ( 0.01) | 47.64% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.16% ( 0.01) | 69.84% ( -0.01) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( 0.01) | 26.4% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.44% ( 0.01) | 61.56% ( -0.01) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( 0) | 23.71% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.17% ( 0) | 57.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Aveley |
| 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.23% Total : 34.85% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.76% |
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