Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.
Result | ||
Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Aveley |
34.85% (![]() | 25.39% (![]() | 39.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.15% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.36% (![]() | 47.64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.16% (![]() | 69.84% (![]() |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% (![]() | 26.4% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% (![]() | 61.56% (![]() |
Aveley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.29% (![]() | 23.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.17% (![]() | 57.83% |
Score Analysis |
Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Aveley |
1-0 @ 8.34% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.99% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 3.23% Total : 34.85% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 9.01% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.64% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.48% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.14% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.76% |
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